Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Steel 52.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 81.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 69.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Pettersson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Pettersson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Pettersson
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Pettersson
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Pettersson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
56.9% (320)
-10.6%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
71.4% (7)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
37.0% (73)
+14.9%
On power play, Steel has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Steel
Home
48.1% (489)
55.9% (202)
Away
46.9% (475)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Pettersson
Steel
P1
47.4%
55.5%
P2
48.3%
55.1%
P3
46.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |