Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 81.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 78.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Pettersson
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
51.6% (1,084)
-7.7%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
61.0% (246)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
44.1% (136)
+1.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
45.5% (290)
55.2% (696)
Away
42.4% (250)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
40.2%
55.4%
P2
43.9%
54.8%
P3
48.8%
48.9%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |