Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
2
Pettersson
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
7
Pettersson
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
54.1% (1,117)
-10.0%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
59.8% (296)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
34.4% (32)
+0.4%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
45.0% (489)
54.3% (709)
Away
43.7% (508)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
46.0%
51.6%
P2
45.7%
53.6%
P3
42.2%
58.6%
OT
23.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |