Elias Pettersson vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Hertl 54.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 34-22 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 92.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 93.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
34
(56 meetings)
22
34
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
3
Pettersson
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
10
17
Pettersson
Hertl
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
14
Pettersson
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
53.8% (8,268)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
59.3% (1,975)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
46.3% (806)
-7.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
46.8% (2,734)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
44.7%
53.6%
P2
46.0%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
55.3%
OT
39.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |