Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Hertl 57.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 56.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pettersson
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Pettersson
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
58.1% (823)
-12.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
56.2% (265)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
62.9% (35)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
49.3% (584)
59.7% (561)
Away
44.5% (555)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
45.8%
51.6%
P2
47.9%
63.8%
P3
47.1%
58.6%
OT
47.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |