Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Haula
Tavares
Last 7: Haula 4-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
57.5% (914)
-3.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
60.5% (309)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
59.1% (22)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
55.4% (520)
61.0% (661)
Away
53.1% (537)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
56.5%
58.6%
P2
53.3%
57.8%
P3
53.8%
58.4%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |