Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Haula
Tavares
Last 9: Haula 4-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Haula
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Haula
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
57.7% (998)
-4.8%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
60.5% (271)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
56.4% (39)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
54.2% (345)
59.7% (610)
Away
51.1% (374)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
55.8%
57.2%
P2
48.0%
58.5%
P3
54.1%
59.4%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |