Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 68.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 83.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 70.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Haula
Tavares
Last 10: Haula 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Haula
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Haula
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
58.0% (914)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
57.0% (235)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
57.9% (19)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
48.6% (426)
57.8% (614)
Away
51.6% (411)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
52.2%
58.0%
P2
51.5%
56.9%
P3
46.7%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |