Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 82.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Haula
Tavares
Last 10: Haula 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Haula
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Haula
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Haula
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
59.2% (1,035)
-1.6%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
60.0% (310)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
42.9% (7)
+2.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
56.3% (449)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.3% (443)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
58.4%
58.0%
P2
54.9%
60.1%
P3
52.0%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |