Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 43-19 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 59.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 81.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
43
(62 meetings)
19
43
Haula
Tavares
Last 10: Haula 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
19
Haula
Tavares
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
8
Haula
Tavares
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
16
Haula
Tavares
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
54.0% (16,108)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
56.5% (4,283)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
50.6% (620)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
53.4% (4,478)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
53.2%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
54.1%
OT
43.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |