Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Hayes 44.1% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 62.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Rodrigues
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (525)
33.3% (81)
+13.6%
Power Play
48.1% (54)
64.3% (14)
-16.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 32.6% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
46.3% (354)
30.6% (49)
Away
45.0% (282)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
47.7%
24.2%
P2
46.0%
43.8%
P3
43.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%