Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Rodrigues
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
56.6% (724)
-5.4%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
57.0% (79)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
65.7% (35)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
45.8% (24)
58.0% (405)
Away
52.9% (34)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
38.1%
54.7%
P2
52.6%
55.7%
P3
61.1%
60.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |