Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Hayes 51.7% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Rodrigues
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
51.6% (386)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
53.2% (47)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.0% (20)
-10.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
46.5% (142)
50.5% (200)
Away
43.6% (140)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
42.9%
58.8%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
42.4%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%