Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Rodrigues
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Rodrigues
Hayes
Last 10: Rodrigues 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
4
Rodrigues
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
11
5
Rodrigues
Hayes
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
47.5% (6,708)
-1.3%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
51.7% (702)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
45.3% (697)
-2.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
47.1% (1,820)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
46.9%
47.5%
P2
46.1%
47.6%
P3
44.6%
47.9%
OT
48.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |