Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.4%). Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Hayes 49.5% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Rodrigues
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
48.5% (557)
+5.9%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
53.3% (107)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
58.3% (12)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
47.9% (119)
50.8% (313)
Away
50.8% (122)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
53.8%
52.3%
P2
51.9%
47.7%
P3
43.2%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%