Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 69.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Rodrigues
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
42.7% (478)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
42.9% (98)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
45.2% (31)
-2.9%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
49.8% (215)
43.5% (232)
Away
44.4% (171)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
44.2%
40.1%
P2
53.5%
44.8%
P3
44.6%
42.4%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |