Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Hayes 50.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 84.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Rodrigues
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Hayes
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
50.4% (850)
-9.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
56.4% (39)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.2% (223)
-0.2%
On even strength, Hayes has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
40.9% (159)
50.0% (586)
Away
43.5% (209)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
47.8%
52.3%
P2
37.6%
52.3%
P3
42.1%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2018 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |