Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Rodrigues
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
53.8% (753)
+0.6%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
58.9% (90)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
47.4% (78)
-11.3%
On power play, Paul has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Paul
Home
47.9% (119)
54.2% (450)
Away
50.8% (122)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Rodrigues
Paul
P1
53.8%
58.2%
P2
51.9%
50.6%
P3
43.2%
52.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%