Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Paul 53.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 57.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 50.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Rodrigues
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rodrigues
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
53.2% (327)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
61.4% (57)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
50.0% (32)
-12.7%
On power play, Paul has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Paul
Home
48.3% (429)
54.6% (183)
Away
45.4% (346)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Rodrigues
Paul
P1
48.3%
56.3%
P2
46.9%
54.8%
P3
45.6%
52.4%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Paul |