Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 81.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Rodrigues
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
53.1% (710)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
57.3% (199)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.0% (69)
-8.0%
On power play, Paul has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Paul
Home
45.8% (24)
56.0% (466)
Away
52.9% (34)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Rodrigues
Paul
P1
38.1%
57.2%
P2
52.6%
54.9%
P3
61.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |