Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Sturm 55.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 72.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 72.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Rodrigues
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Rodrigues
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
56.1% (716)
-1.7%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
67.7% (31)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
51.1% (133)
-15.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Sturm
Home
47.9% (119)
55.6% (412)
Away
50.8% (122)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Rodrigues
Sturm
P1
53.8%
59.6%
P2
51.9%
52.0%
P3
43.2%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |