Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Sturm 57.1% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 90.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 75.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Rodrigues
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
62.1% (356)
-16.5%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
75.0% (4)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.7% (62)
+11.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Sturm
Home
46.5% (142)
61.8% (191)
Away
43.6% (140)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Rodrigues
Sturm
P1
42.9%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
57.9%
P3
42.4%
60.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |