Evan Rodrigues vs Nico Sturm

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 46.0% vs Sturm 56.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor Sturm leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Rodrigues 80.3%
Defensive zone Sturm 65.1%
Neutral zone Rodrigues 65.9%
Result Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Rodrigues Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 8 (13 meetings)
5
8
Rodrigues Sturm
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Sturm

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
6
Rodrigues Sturm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues Sturm
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Rodrigues
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
57.1% (2,719)
-10.9%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
61.3% (62)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
51.0% (498)
-8.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Sturm
Home
47.1% (1,820)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Rodrigues
Sturm
P1
46.9%
56.5%
P2
46.1%
54.9%
P3
44.6%
57.4%
OT
48.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%
50.0%
45.9%
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
56.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 24, 2026 3 03:29 Neutral Evan Rodrigues
Dec 7, 2024 3 12:58 Offensive Evan Rodrigues
Oct 24, 2023 2 16:29 Defensive Nico Sturm
Oct 24, 2023 2 16:16 Offensive Evan Rodrigues
Apr 4, 2023 2 06:07 Defensive Nico Sturm
Apr 2, 2022 1 01:16 Neutral Nico Sturm
Nov 6, 2021 3 07:42 Defensive Nico Sturm
Nov 6, 2021 2 09:37 Defensive Nico Sturm
Nov 6, 2021 2 06:53 Defensive Evan Rodrigues
Nov 6, 2021 2 06:42 Offensive Nico Sturm
Nov 6, 2021 2 02:20 Defensive Nico Sturm
Nov 6, 2021 2 02:11 Defensive Evan Rodrigues
Nov 6, 2021 2 01:55 Defensive Nico Sturm