Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Malkin
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Malkin
Tavares
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Malkin
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
57.5% (914)
-8.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
60.5% (309)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Malkin
Tavares
Home
52.3% (438)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.2% (418)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Malkin
Tavares
P1
51.3%
58.6%
P2
50.8%
57.8%
P3
45.0%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |