Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 77.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 76.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Malkin
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Malkin
Tavares
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Malkin
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Malkin
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
60.0% (310)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Malkin
Tavares
Home
49.6% (405)
57.5% (668)
Away
47.5% (396)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Malkin
Tavares
P1
49.6%
58.0%
P2
47.2%
60.1%
P3
48.5%
61.0%
OT
100.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |