Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Malkin wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Hayes 49.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 63.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Malkin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Malkin
Hayes
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
3
Malkin
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
9
Malkin
Hayes
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
48.7% (394)
-6.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
61.2% (49)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
34.3% (35)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
43.6% (172)
50.6% (237)
Away
41.4% (186)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
43.4%
43.9%
P2
44.2%
47.3%
P3
38.7%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |