Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Malkin
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
51.6% (386)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
60.0% (20)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
47.5% (326)
50.5% (200)
Away
44.0% (307)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
49.3%
58.8%
P2
44.7%
49.3%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%