Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 42.8%). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Malkin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
42.7% (478)
+1.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
42.9% (98)
-12.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
45.5% (202)
43.5% (232)
Away
41.4% (174)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
48.4%
40.1%
P2
41.7%
44.8%
P3
40.4%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |