Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 51-37 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Malkin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
51
(88 meetings)
37
51
Malkin
Hayes
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
13
9
Malkin
Hayes
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
10
21
Malkin
Hayes
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
14
21
Malkin
Hayes
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
47.5% (6,708)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
51.7% (702)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.3% (697)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
47.6% (5,395)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
45.9%
47.5%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
45.2%
47.9%
OT
49.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |