Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Malkin
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
31.9% (91)
+13.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
64.3% (14)
-29.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
50.4% (113)
30.6% (49)
Away
39.4% (132)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
47.7%
22.9%
P2
44.9%
40.0%
P3
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%