Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Malkin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Malkin
Hayes
Last 7: Malkin 1-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Malkin
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Malkin
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
48.5% (557)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
53.3% (107)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
52.3% (438)
50.8% (313)
Away
46.2% (418)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
51.3%
52.3%
P2
50.8%
47.7%
P3
45.0%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |