Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Duchene 51.0% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 54.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Malkin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
51.4% (177)
-6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
75.0% (8)
+25.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
51.5% (103)
48.8% (41)
Away
39.4% (109)
52.3% (149)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
47.9%
47.6%
P2
47.7%
62.3%
P3
40.0%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%