Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Malkin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
53.9% (193)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
49.2% (65)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
52.3% (438)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
51.3%
54.9%
P2
50.8%
52.7%
P3
45.0%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%