Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Duchene 51.6% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 58.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Malkin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.2% (324)
-5.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
60.4% (53)
-25.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
50.4% (113)
51.6% (182)
Away
39.4% (132)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
47.7%
49.6%
P2
44.9%
56.2%
P3
40.0%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%