Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 67.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 69.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Malkin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Malkin
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Malkin
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Malkin
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
56.5% (566)
-8.6%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
61.3% (62)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
22.2% (9)
+77.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
49.6% (405)
56.6% (318)
Away
47.5% (396)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
49.6%
57.2%
P2
47.2%
55.1%
P3
48.5%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |