Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs Duchene 55.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 87.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Malkin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Malkin
Duchene
Last 10: Malkin 9-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
3
Malkin
Duchene
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
56.0% (579)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
59.3% (108)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
25.0% (8)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
49.1% (411)
54.9% (375)
Away
51.4% (465)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
49.5%
58.3%
P2
54.7%
56.7%
P3
46.7%
53.1%
OT
47.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |