Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.1%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Malkin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Dowd
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Malkin
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
49.2% (778)
-1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (234)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dowd
Home
49.6% (405)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.5% (396)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Malkin
Dowd
P1
49.6%
49.1%
P2
47.2%
48.2%
P3
48.5%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |