Evgeni Malkin vs Nic Dowd

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Malkin 46.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone Malkin 88.0%
Defensive zone Dowd 87.9%
Neutral zone Dowd 53.3%
Result Nic Dowd favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Malkin Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Malkin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.7% (644)
-6.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
0.0% (2)
+34.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +34.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dowd
Home
50.4% (113)
48.6% (451)
Away
39.4% (132)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Malkin
Dowd
P1
47.7%
49.1%
P2
44.9%
47.3%
P3
40.0%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
52.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%
46.0%
44.5%
Dowd
50.0%
48.0%
49.0%