Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Roy 53.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 63.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 93.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 83.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Malkin
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
53.9% (449)
-8.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (30)
+46.7%
On power play, Malkin has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
51.5% (103)
54.9% (293)
Away
39.4% (109)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
47.9%
55.0%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
40.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
34.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |