Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Malkin
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
48.3% (633)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
52.1% (48)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.7% (87)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
52.3% (438)
50.8% (376)
Away
46.2% (418)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
51.3%
53.8%
P2
50.8%
43.5%
P3
45.0%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |