Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 58.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 94.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 80.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Malkin
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.9% (547)
-6.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
54.1% (37)
-19.5%
On power play, Roy has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
50.4% (113)
54.0% (328)
Away
39.4% (132)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
47.7%
53.5%
P2
44.9%
51.6%
P3
40.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |