Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Roy 48.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Malkin
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Malkin
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
49.5% (746)
-5.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
50.7% (75)
-20.7%
On power play, Roy has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
45.5% (202)
47.7% (491)
Away
41.4% (174)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
48.4%
51.1%
P2
41.7%
44.6%
P3
40.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |