Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Roy 47.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Malkin
Roy
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Malkin
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Malkin
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
48.6% (679)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
48.0% (50)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.7% (49)
+65.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +65.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
47.5% (326)
49.3% (345)
Away
44.0% (307)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
49.3%
47.6%
P2
44.7%
47.1%
P3
42.3%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |