Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Roy 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Malkin
Roy
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Malkin
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
2
Malkin
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
47.5% (617)
+0.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
39.6% (53)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.4% (97)
+53.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
49.6% (405)
47.2% (398)
Away
47.5% (396)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
49.6%
48.6%
P2
47.2%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |