Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Hartman 44.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 74.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Hartman
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Malkin
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
42.6% (495)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
38.5% (26)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.8% (43)
+1.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
52.3% (438)
43.4% (288)
Away
46.2% (418)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
51.3%
43.1%
P2
50.8%
43.4%
P3
45.0%
42.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |