Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Hartman 47.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Malkin
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
47.1% (649)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
47.1% (68)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.2% (73)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
49.6% (405)
46.5% (361)
Away
47.5% (396)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
49.6%
45.1%
P2
47.2%
44.4%
P3
48.5%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |