Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 45.0%). Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
44.8% (830)
+0.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.8% (92)
-13.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
50.4% (113)
45.0% (515)
Away
39.4% (132)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
47.7%
46.5%
P2
44.9%
39.9%
P3
40.0%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |