Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.2%). Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 73.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Malkin
Hartman
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Malkin
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Malkin
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Malkin
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
45.2% (4,235)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
47.4% (443)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
42.4% (262)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
45.9%
46.0%
P2
46.2%
42.9%
P3
45.2%
46.8%
OT
49.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |