Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Hartman 48.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Malkin
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Malkin
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Malkin
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
48.1% (520)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (23)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
47.5% (326)
48.3% (360)
Away
44.0% (307)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
49.3%
48.5%
P2
44.7%
45.2%
P3
42.3%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |