Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Malkin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Malkin
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Malkin
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Malkin
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
59.8% (296)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hertl
Home
52.3% (438)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.2% (418)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Malkin
Hertl
P1
51.3%
51.6%
P2
50.8%
53.6%
P3
45.0%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |